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Forecasting baseline / Baseline
Bakery sales forecasting
Product-by-product ARIMA baseline on bakery sales with temporal split, Optuna and evaluation artifacts.
ARIMABakeryPerishable demand
Problem
Forecast daily product demand on perishable sales before moving to more complex models.
Approach
Ticket cleaning, daily product series, temporal splits, ARIMA optimization and predictive/economic analysis.
Evidence
Python 3.13 + uv pipeline.
Data is not versioned, with explicit contract on data/Bakery sales.csv.
Useful baseline for comparing Praedixa methods on perishable demand.